Detroit-Twins is shaping up as a late-season divisional showdown with real fantasy implications. Detroit sits in a tight race for the AL’s No. 1 seed, a spot Minnesota is trying to reclaim after Friday’s 4-3 opener. The betting board leans toward a fast-paced, bullpen-heavy night, with the total set at 9.5 and the Tigers favored to cover the 1.5 spread. Kerry Carpenter represents the Tigers’ best power upside, especially against Pierson Ohl, who has yielded four homers in just 11.1 innings this year.

Ohl’s command hasn’t followed his stuff, making Carpenter a hedge-worthy DFS option and a potential fade-sell for the Twins’ bullpen leverage. On Detroit’s side, Charlie Morton (if he lines up as noted in pregame chatter) gives the Tigers a chance to leverage a soft Minnesota lineup, while Detroit’s bullpen—4.02 ERA since the All-Star Break—can push runs late if the game is tight.

The over looks the smart bet here as both bullpens are prone to give up late runs, even if the starters survive a few innings. Carpenter’s power profile (.539Slug) and Ohl’s HR propensity offer a clear path to late scoring, and the Blue Jays’ seed-market chatter adds contextual pressure across the league’s top seeds. For fantasy managers, Carpenter is the name to lineup with confidence, and stacking Detroit’s opportunistic bats could pay dividends if this one turns into a high-scoring finish.

Three MLB home-run picks lead Friday’s slate: Bryce Harper at +400, Carlos Correa at +575, and Kerry Carpenter at +285. Harper faces lefty MacKenzie Gore, a matchup that amplifies Harper’s power upside given his strong left-handed splits. Correa targets Brandon Young, a struggling starter for Baltimore, while Carpenter tees off on Pierson Ohl, who’s yielded multiple homers this season. The bets come with BetMGM bonuses and a reminder that odds refresh and promos vary by state.

Harper’s lefty fever and Gore’s HR trend create a high-ceiling play for Friday’s game in D.C. Correa’s late-season heater adds upside for the Astros angle, especially with two homers since rejoining Houston. Carpenter holds Tigers’ best slugging mark and projects to see favorable power against Detroit’s opposing arm. Readers are advised to monitor the BetMGM SI1500 promo code and state limits as they build night-to-night DFS and betting lineups.

Three homer picks headline Thursday’s short MLB slate: Gunnar Henderson, Francisco Lindor, and Kerry Carpenter. Henderson goes against Logan Evans, whose 1.6 HR/9 hints at a power-friendly matchup for the Orioles rookie, who has flashed big power with 14 homers this season. Lindor draws Bryce Elder, a pitcher with elevated homer risk and a rough 6.12 ERA profile, presenting a prime chance for a Lindor homer. Carpenter anchors Detroit’s lineup against Bailey Ober, whose 2.0 HR/9 allows for a Tigers bomb from Carpenter, Detroit’s slugging leader at .539.

Odds tilt toward upside: Henderson at +370, Lindor at +400, Carpenter at +265, offering a trio of monster-home-run paths across a handful of games. Expect high-variance, big-play potential from these bets, with Carpenter representing the value play given the opponent and Tigers’ power profile.

Four home run props headline Casey Wilson’s Thursday MLB slate, with Kyle Stowers, Marcell Ozuna, Kerry Carpenter, and Corbin Carroll each slated to smash one over 0.5 HR. Stowers meets Tanner Bibee at Progressive Field, Ozuna faces Kodai Senga in Queens, Carpenter hooks with Bailey Ober in Minnesota, and Carroll squares off at Coors Field against Bradley Blalock. The piece emphasizes a cautious four-pick round-robin and a small unit approach to protect bankrolls while chasing multi-HR payouts.

The weather window and venue tilt the odds in favor of big swings: Coors in Denver, East Coast hitting weather, and pitchers prone to the long ball. Each pick leverages recent splits—Stowers’ power vs righties, Ozuna’s hot run against right-handers, Carpenter’s success versus RHP, and Carroll’s heavy power against right-handed arms—creating a potential four-for-four card on a night where multiple sticks hit in form.

Shop odds across DK and FanDuel, keep the bets capped at four, and embrace the round-robin structure so a two-HR night can still pay while a single HR produces value. It’s a night built for high-variance, high-reward prop betting, crafted for fantasy managers and bettors who monitor weather, park factors, and bullpen usage as tightly as line movements.

Spencer Torkelson delivered a ninth-inning go-ahead homer off Brandon Eisert, a moment that snapped his club’s recent rough patch and underscored Detroit’s late-season push. The 393-foot shot, deflected by the foul pole, came in the Tigers’ 2-1 win over the White Sox, giving Torkelson career-high relevance as he chases a 36-HR pace this season. A rain delay paused play for 63 minutes, but Detroit’s bullpen—led by Kyle Finnegan and Will Vest—locked down the final outs after a strong start from Chris Paddack. The win keeps Detroit within sight of the AL East’s pace and solidifies their 6.5-game cushion in the AL Central.

In a lineup that features Kerry Carpenter, Riley Greene, and Gleyber Torres, Detroit shows depth beyond Torkelson. Carpenter (.833 OPS in 91 games), Greene (.820 OPS in 116), and Torres (.784 OPS in 106) have provided steady power and on-base potential, helping the Tigers surge to 69-51 and a comfortable lead in the division. Detroit’s recent form—nine wins in 14 games after a late-season swoon—sets up a fantasy landscape where Torkelson’s power, Carpenter’s OBP, and Greene’s speed-and-run potential look like core pieces for a playoff push.